
% Table created by stargazer v.5.2 by Marek Hlavac, Harvard University. E-mail: hlavac at fas.harvard.edu
% Date and time: Fri, Apr 22, 2022 - 21:10:51
\begin{table}[!htbp] \centering 
  \caption{Full regression output for Table A-14} 
  \label{table_votes_trend_cl} 
\begin{tabular}{@{\hspace{-10pt}}l@{\hspace{-10pt}}cccccccc} 
\toprule 
 & (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) & (7) & (8)\\ 
\midrule  
\\[-2.1ex] $\Delta\textrm{IPW}_{1900}$ & $-$0.017$^{***}$ & $-$0.011$^{**}$ & $-$0.022$^{***}$ & $-$0.017$^{***}$ &  &  &  &  \\ 
  & (0.005) & (0.005) & (0.005) & (0.005) &  &  &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 $\Delta\textrm{IPW}_{t+2}$ &  &  &  &  & 0.005 & 0.001 &  &  \\ 
  &  &  &  &  & (0.007) & (0.006) &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 $\Delta\textrm{IPW}_{t+3}$ &  &  &  &  &  &  & 0.005 & 0.003 \\ 
  &  &  &  &  &  &  & (0.006) & (0.006) \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 Constituency Conservative \\trend (1885--1910) & 0.872$^{***}$ & 0.861$^{***}$ &  &  &  &  &  &  \\ 
  & (0.177) & (0.175) &  &  &  &  &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 Constituency Conservative \\trend (1885--1900) &  &  & $-$0.228$^{*}$ & $-$0.223$^{*}$ &  &  &  &  \\ 
  &  &  & (0.121) & (0.119) &  &  &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1900 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  & 0.096$^{*}$ &  & 0.091$^{*}$ &  &  &  &  \\ 
  &  & (0.053) &  & (0.053) &  &  &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1906 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  & $-$0.034 &  & $-$0.039 &  &  &  &  \\ 
  &  & (0.060) &  & (0.056) &  &  &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1910 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  & $-$0.084$^{***}$ &  & $-$0.080$^{***}$ &  &  &  &  \\ 
  &  & (0.029) &  & (0.028) &  &  &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1911 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  \\ 
  &  & (0.000) &  & (0.000) &  &  &  &  \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1885 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  &  &  &  &  & $-$0.064 &  & $-$0.049 \\ 
  &  &  &  &  &  & (0.067) &  & (0.058) \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1886 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  &  &  &  &  & $-$0.200$^{***}$ &  & $-$0.190$^{***}$ \\ 
  &  &  &  &  &  & (0.048) &  & (0.047) \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1892 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  &  &  &  &  & $-$0.039 &  & $-$0.036 \\ 
  &  &  &  &  &  & (0.053) &  & (0.049) \\ 
 \addlinespace 
 as.factor(year)1895 $\times$ const\_frac\_secondary &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  \\ 
  &  &  &  &  &  & (0.000) &  & (0.000) \\ 
 \addlinespace 
\midrule  
Years & 1900--1910 & 1900--1910 & 1900--1910 & 1900--1910 & 1885--1895 & 1885--1895 & 1885--1895 & 1885--1895 \\ 
Initial MF x election &  & x &  & x &  & x &  & x \\ 
Observations & 1,578 & 1,578 & 1,549 & 1,549 & 1,555 & 1,555 & 1,555 & 1,555 \\ 
R$^{2}$ & 0.843 & 0.845 & 0.839 & 0.842 & 0.750 & 0.753 & 0.750 & 0.753 \\ 
Adjusted R$^{2}$ & 0.777 & 0.780 & 0.773 & 0.775 & 0.643 & 0.646 & 0.643 & 0.646 \\ 
\bottomrule 
\textit{Note:}  & \multicolumn{8}{l}{$^{*}$p$<$0.1; $^{**}$p$<$0.05; $^{***}$p$<$0.01} \\ 
 & \multicolumn{8}{l}{\parbox[t]{0.7\textwidth}{
        Constituency-level fixed effects regression, dependent variable is share
        of the vote for the Conservative Party. Models (1)--(4) re-estimate the
        main voting result, for the 1900--1910 period, adding controls for
        Conservative vote share as predicted by constituency-specific time
        trends, based on the 1885--1910 period for models (1) and (2), and based
        on the 1885--1900 period for (3) and (4). Models (5)--(8) test for
        differential trends in Conservative voting prior to the acceleration of
        German imports after 1895, regressing Conservative vote share 1885--1895
        on import penetration 1892--1906 and 1895--1910.
        All models include constituency and election fixed effects, even numbers
        add manufacturing employment in 1880 interacted with
        election dummies.
        Standard errors clustered by county in parentheses.}} \\ 
\end{tabular} 
\end{table} 
